Future of the Kenyan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Future of the Kenyan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020
Gouvernement et Secteur public
Février 2015
Type de Produit
Forecast report
Description du rapport

The Future of the Kenyan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

- Over the historic period, Kenya's defense expenditure registered a growth rate of 2.60%,increasing from US$0.9 billion in 2011 to US$1.0 billion in 2015

- The country's total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$2.8 billion

- The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 17.5% over the forecast period, compared to an average share of 15.7% during 2011-2015

- Over the forecast period, the country's budget for homeland security is expected to be US$4.1 billion cumulatively

- The key areas of investment are expected to be cyber security systems, aircr

Table des matières

1 Introduction

1.1. What is this Report About?

1.2. Definitions

1.3. Summary Methodology

1.4. SDI Terrorism Index

1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast

3.1.1. Kenyan annual defense expenditure expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.94% over 2016-2020

3.1.2. Border security, terrorist group threats, peacekeeping missions, and the need to modernize outdated defense equipment to drive Kenya's defense expenditure

3.1.3. The country's defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to average 1.2% over the forecast period

3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation

3.2.1. Share of revenue expenditure to comprise the majority of the defense budget

3.2.2. Capital expenditure budget projected to increase at a CAGR of 5.53% during the forecast period

3.2.3. Kenyan defense revenue expenditure expected to be US$4.8 billion cumulatively over 2016-2020

3.2.4. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period

3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast

3.3.1. Homeland security budget projected to increase during the forecast period

3.3.2. Human trafficking, and drug and arms smugglings form the major components of homeland security expenditure

3.3.3. Kenya is at some risk from external and internal threats

3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets

3.4.1. Kenyan defense expenditure expected to be low compared to other African nations

3.4.2. Kenya's military expenditure to be US$1.2 billion by 2020

3.4.3. Kenya allocates a low percentage of GDP to defense

3.4.4. Kenya faces some risk of terrorism

3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators

3.5.1. Cyber security

3.5.2. Trainer aircraft

3.5.3. Armored Vehicles

3.5.4. Helicopter

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

4.1. Import Market Dynamics

4.1.1. The initiative to modernize the country's armed force will drive defense imports

4.1.2. Jordan was the leading supplier of arms to Kenya during 2010-2013

4.1.3. Aircraft accounted for the majority of defense imports during 2010-2013

4.2. Export Market Dynamics

4.2.1. Kenya does not export arms due to its under-developed domestic arms industry

5 Industry Dynamics

5.1. Five Forces Analysis

5.1.1. Bargaining power of the supplier: high

5.1.2. Bargaining power of the buyer: low

5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium to high

5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high

5.1.5. Threat of substitution: medium to high

6 Market Entry Strategy

6.1. Market Regulation

6.1.1. Kenya does not disclose any offset obligations imposed by the country

6.1.2. Foreign direct investment (FDI) is determined on a case to case basis

6.2. Market Entry Route

6.2.1. Equipment manufacturers enter the market through government-to-government deals

6.3. Key Challenges

6.3.1. Corruption and lack of transparency characterize the Kenyan defense industry

6.3.2. Low defense budget to act as obstacle for foreign investors

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview

7.1.1. Foreign suppliers manufacture defense systems overseas and deliver to Kenya

7.2. Key Domestic Companies

7.2.1. Kenya Ordnance Factories Corporation: overview

7.2.2. Kenya Ordnance Factories Corporation: products and services

7.2.3. Rosoboronexport: overview

7.2.4. Rosoboronexport: products and services

7.2.5. Rosoboronexport: recent contract wins

7.2.6. Grob Aircraft: overview

7.2.7. Grob Aircraft: products and services

7.2.8. Grob Aircraft: recent contract wins

8 Business Environment and Country Risk

8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics

8.1.1. Total Rural Population

8.1.2. Total Urban Population

8.1.3. Number of households

8.2. Economic Performance

8.2.1. GDP Per Capita

8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices

8.2.3. Exports of goods and services (current USD Bn)

8.2.4. Imports of goods and services (current USD Bn)

8.2.5. Gross National disposable income (USD Bn)

8.2.6. Manufacturing Output (USD Bn)

8.2.7. Consumer Price Index

8.2.8. Local Currency Unit per US Dollars

8.2.9. Local Currency Unit per Euro

8.2.10. Lending Rate

8.2.11. Deposit Rate

8.2.12. Real Interest Rate (%)

8.2.13. Market capitalization of listed companies (USD Bn)

8.2.14. Market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP)

8.2.15. Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU Bn)

8.2.16. Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU)

8.2.17. Goods exports as a % of GDP

8.2.18. Goods imports as a % of GDP

8.2.19. Goods balance as a % of GDP

8.2.20. Services imports as a % of GDP

8.2.21. Service exports as a % of GDP

8.2.22. Services balance as a % of GDP

8.2.23. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Bn)

8.2.24. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP

8.2.25. International reserves, including gold

8.2.26. External Debt as % of GDP

8.3. Energy and Utilities

8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation

8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation

8.3.3. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity

8.3.4. Electricity Imports

8.3.5. Petroleum Consumption

8.3.6. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts)

8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability

8.4.1. Air transport, freight

8.5. Minerals

8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output

8.6. Technology

8.6.1. Patents Granted

8.7. Telecommunication

8.7.1. Telephone Lines

8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate

9 Appendix

9.1. About SDI

9.2. Disclaimer

Description de l'éditeur

About Strategic Defence Intelligence

Strategic Defence Intelligence provides a stream of continuously updated customer and competitor intelligence, as well as detailed research reports providing an unrivalled source of global information on the latest developments in the defence industry. Strategic Defence Intelligence's unique monitoring platform tracks global defence activity for over 2,500 companies and 65 product categories in real time and in a highly structured manner, giving a comprehensive and easily-searchable picture of all defence industry activity.


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